• A political risk advisory for
    global strategists and leaders in Chile

  • Politics matter

    Fitting the political landscape
    into the full picture

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Chile and Latin American affairs

Editorial 2024

The war in Ukraine and the conflict in Gaza have put pressure on Latam leaders to take sides.  Risks relate to China’s resolve to regain its glorious past and retake Taiwan in a military operation. These geopolitical conflicts exacerbate leaders in Latam to take ideological sides and blur their need to remain neutral when possible or adhere to International Law when necessary at multilateral levels such as the United Nations.  

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Chile 2024: risks and opportunities

Editorial 2024: The advancement of criminal gangs with regional tentacles, such as Venezuela’s "Tren de Aragua" perpetrating not only illicit crime but also the apparent killing of one of Venezuela’s detractors, has moved the security issue to the top of the Government Agenda. The trend of illicit activities connected with criminal gangs, the problem of the influx of illegal immigrants associated with violent crime, and the killings of police officers on duty have outraged the population, pushing for Boric to enact stringent legislation.

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Global Affairs

Editorial 2024

The International Order since 1945 is under strain.  On one side, COVID-19 has been the black swan that took leaders and IOs unprepared to deal with a global pandemic. Self-interest and lack of collective action prevailed worldwide during the vaccine inoculation era and exhibited the world's inequality as the main driver for populations’ access to vaccine campaigns. Once the worst of the pandemic had come to a close, war broke out in Ukraine after the unlawful invasion of Russia into Ukraine’s lands, violating International Law. And today, the conflict in Gaza involving Palestinians and Israelis over historical grievances and lands is not only putting the chances for a peaceful conviviality and a two-state solution at risk of irreparable proportions but also putting Israelis worldwide at grave risk of deadly attacks.

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Top 5 drivers

Take a deeper look at our weekly monitoring per driver.

  • A 25 year cycle

    A 25 year cycle

    With the demise of Pinochet’s rule in 1989, the Concertación de Partidos por la Democracia started a 25-year-political cycle marked by stability and growth.

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  • Economic resilience

    Economic resilience

    Bloomberg estimates that Chile has a 5% chance to be hit by recession as China continues slowdown. Thanks to prudent macroeconomics policies, Standard & Poor’s have again confirmed AA+ on financial resilience in Chile.

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  • Social Change

    Social Change

    By the end of 2015, however, Bachelet’s NM government acknowledged the end of the commodities boom and the necessity to readapt the government’s priorities. There were 2 choices only: either maintain the path of progress seen in Chile for the last 25 years or “go south” by falling into the trap of populist decisions.

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  • Blind justice

    Blind justice

    One direct benefit from the apparent attrition in the political class and entrepreneurial elite, was the establishment of an Ethical Commission made up of experts and leaders from the academia to set high standards and design new legislation to rule party elections, campaign financing, new “comers” (new parties from the public sphere) and a limit to re-election of MP’s.

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  • Productivity

    Productivity

    WEF’s country report 2015 / 2016 puts Chile on the 35th position in the competitiveness ranking worldwide (140 countries). Even though Chile is 2 positions below in the ranking compared to 2014, Chile still leads in the Latin American region.

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